Insurers’ combined ratio deteriorated to 99.8 percent in first-half 2016 from 97.6 percent in first-half 2015, and net written premium growth slowed to 3.0 percent in first-half 2016 from 4.1 percent a year earlier. Net investment income dropped to $22.1 billion in first-half 2016 from $23.4 billion a year earlier, and realized capital gains decreased to $4.4 billion from $8.2 billion, resulting in $26.5 billion in net investment gains for first-half 2016, down $5.1 billion from a year earlier.
Direct insured property losses from catastrophes striking the United States totaled $13.5 billion in first-half 2016, up from $10.7 billion a year earlier and above the $11.6 billion average for first-half direct catastrophe losses for the past ten years.
“The underperformance of auto insurance continues to drag down industry underwriting results. Industry statistics we’re monitoring indicate that direct personal and commercial auto liability losses each spiked over 11 percent from the first half of 2015, significantly outstripping premium growth. The increases were a significant contributor to the worsening combined ratio, with personal lines insurers deteriorating from 100.0 to 103.1, and commercial lines insurers from 94.6 to 96.0. As a result, while overall industry surplus rose slightly to a record high, once adjusted for inflation, real surplus actually declined and insurers’ return on average surplus dropped below the long-term average.”
Robert Gordon, PCI’s senior vice president for policy development and research
Insurers’ net income after taxes fell to $8.3 billion in second-quarter 2016 from $12.9 billion in second-quarter 2015, and their combined ratio worsened to 102.1 percent in second-quarter 2016 from 99.4 percent a year earlier.
Their annualized rate of return on average surplus dropped to 4.9 percent in second-quarter 2016 from 7.7 percent a year earlier.
Net written premiums rose 2.9 percent in second-quarter 2016 compared with 4.5 percent in second-quarter 2015.
View the full report from ISO and PCI here.
Since 1971, ISO has been a leading source of information about property/casualty insurance risk. For a broad spectrum of commercial and personal lines of insurance, ISO provides statistical, actuarial, underwriting, and claims information and analytics; compliance and fraud identification tools; policy language; information about specific locations; and technical services. ISO serves insurers, reinsurers, agents and brokers, insurance regulators, risk managers, and other participants in the property/casualty insurance marketplace. ISO is a Verisk Analytics (Nasdaq:VRSK) business. For more information, please visit www.verisk.com/iso.
PCI is composed of nearly 1,000 member companies, representing the broadest cross section of insurers of any national trade association. PCI members write more than $183 billion in annual premium, 35 percent of the nation’s property casualty insurance. Member companies write 42 percent of the U.S. automobile insurance market, 27 percent of the homeowners market, 32 percent of the commercial property and liability market, and 34 percent of the private workers' compensation market. For more information, visit www.pciaa.net.
Giuseppe Barone/Colleen Finley
MWW Group (for ISO)
Jeffrey Brewer for PCI
Loretta Worters for I.I.I.